And yes, I actually I know all that stuff. And so do you.
Yep. A veritable laundry list of innuendo.
Ultimately, impeachment is a political decision. If the president has no popular support, he can be impeached for jaywalking; if he has popular support, no telling what he can get away with.
Chris Cilizza wrote on this in the WaPo just yesterday. It seems that every time a new “damning piece of evidence” (otherwise known as innuendo or circumstantial) is released, Trump’s GOP support goes UP, as the perception is that the NeverTrumpers are on a witch hunt; his GOP support is in the high 80’s. This is precisely the same thing that happened to Mr. Clinton during the Lewinsky matter; the more evidence that was released,. the higher his approvals went; on the day the impeachment vote was taken, he hit 91% in some polls.
In the meantime, Senators such as Bob Corker and Jeff Flake have ended their careers by criticizing Trump. Both of them were even-to-positive before they went NeverTrumper; both have seen their numbers tank, and both have announced they are not running for re-election.
So, here’s what you can take to the bank on this:
- Barring an actual crime being committed by Mr. Trump during the campaign (the most likely crime would be private evidence (emails, phone taps, etc) showing that he knew that the Russians were hacking the DNC, Trump will finish his term in office. (Everyone knows he runs his mouth on the stump, so nothing said on the stump or social media would move the needle on his support.)
- Any attempt to use the Logan Act would be a waste of time. People know (or will know) that the Logan Act has been consistently violated in the past, so that any attempt to use it would be viewed as selective prosecution; and of course it will be painted as unconstitutional from the get-go. The reaction of the GOP base will be as stated above, and the GOP leadership would respond with “thank you very much Mr. Mueller, you may go home now.”
- Trying to float an obstruction of justice without a crime would be met with the same level of derision. There is also the fact that appointees of the prior President are typically sent packing when the new POTUS takes office, and of course nobody would argue that the President was not within his statutory authority to fire them.
Let’s make something clear here. I am not arguing that Trump has clean hands, is a good guy, a good President, or anything other “defending Trump” matter. I am simply stating what the politics of the matter are, BECAUSE it is unwise to remove a sitting President unless the evidence is damning. Small matters like social integrity and the economy are at stake.