The Tunisians had the sense to pursue policies promoting conciliation rather than revenge. The Arab Spring doesn’t seem to be just a matter of sinister Western machinations.

Tunisia was a far more open society prior to the Arab Spring than most M.E. locales; it had become the financial center of North Africa, and was on an evolutionary path to representative government even prior. The Arab Spring, in that case, simply accelerated what was happening anyway.

In my opinion the Muslim Brotherhood candidate (forget his name now) should have kept his office in Egypt. He wasn’t perfect, but he was the choice of the Egyptian people. I am totally against al-Sisi’s overthrow of him.

The Egyptian military is the most respected authority group in Egypt, and they will never accept an Islamist government. The dynamic there is not pro or against democracy, but military vs religious government. As long as the government isn’t religious, the military has no axe to grind.

As for why the Ukraine overthrew Yanukovych, in my opinion, some statistics I ran into go a long way towards explaining it. In 1990 the Ukraine and Poland had about the same population and the same GDP. Today Poland’s GDP is twice as high as the Ukraine. Why wouldn’t Ukrainians want to join the EU?

Well, that’s kind of besides the point. The point is that Russia considers NATO an offensive enemy threat, and when Ukraine became independent, there was at least a de facto understanding (some say that it was in writing and signed) that they would never join NATO. So, the simple answer is they “wouldn’t want to join NATO, because if they do, Russia will crush them.”

And that shouldn’t be surprising to anyone in the US, since Kennedy did to Russia exactly what Russia did to the Ukraine, faced with the Cuban Missile Crisis.

The Crimea has been Russian back to pre-Bolshevik days, has always had a Ukrainian minority (never a majority) and obviously is the site of key Russian naval bases; bases which the Ukrainians agreed would remain Russian after independence. A person would have to be somewhat insane to think that Russia would NOT use force to maintain control of those bases if there was any risk of NATO incursing there.

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Data Driven Econophile. Muslim, USA born. Been “woke” 2x: 1st, when I realized the world isn’t fair; 2nd, when I realized the “woke” people are full of shit.

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