Tuesday’s Poker Game

  1. First off, the Democrats won the biggest hand of the night, as it appears (at this writing) that Mr. Biden will prevail. Big pile of chips there.
  2. The Republicans, however, are pretty happy as well. They didn’t win the biggest hand, but by losing, they rid themselves of a problematic president whose demagoguery had run its course. And they ended up with quite a haul of chips themselves: They will most likely control the Senate, which will prevent some really bad policy ideas from becoming law; perhaps 10–12 seats in the House, putting House control easily within their reach if the 2022 election holds to form; and took the greatest haul of votes from nonwhite voters since Eisenhower, potentially breaking up the identity-politics cabal the Dems take for granted. (They also seem to have made some inroads with younger voters, although the demographics on that are still unsure.)
  3. The Trumpers lost a fair amount of money, but they really did OK in the long term, for the reasons cited above in (2). They’re upset now, but when they get home, they’ll realize that they could have lost a lot more.
  4. The Progressives, in order to win, required two things: Complete control of all branches of government, AND a landside for Mr. Biden, which would have allowed them to (as Van Jones has stated) claim both an electoral and a moral victory over (as they see it) the nefarious evil forces underlying Trumpism. They won a few chips, with their “Squad” still intact, but not much; Biden’s signals for unity are rightly interpreted by them as “sit down and shut up”. Biden appears uninterested in fighting for controversial legislation, and Mr. McConnell will not permit anything that hasn’t been discussed and compromised on between the parties.
  5. Finally, the NeverTrumpers have been completely wiped out. These grifters don’t have a chip left; they bet it all on a Biden blowout. Now, they not only have no chips, they don’t have a home to go back to; they put the deed on the table in the final hand.

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