Makes sense. Sean Trende of RCP has several statistical analyses and articles (although the larger context is that the Southern Strategy never really mattered, with which you seem to disagree) that the Democrats actually started losing the Southern vote in the 1950’s, that being the time when the party started to give ground to a more activist wing whose economics were not in line with the Southern farmer.

From there, the loss in Southern congressional seats proceeded in pretty much the same slope line until 1994, when the Southern delegation finally turned majority GOP, and then up until 2010, when the Southern Democrat whose seat was *not* VRA-protected pretty much became obsolete.

At any rate, where you and he would agree, I think, is that period of time where BOTH the civil rights issues AND increasing progressivism came into play was where the Democrats ultimately lost their control on the Southern vote, which continues to play an outsized role in US politics.

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Data Driven Econophile. Muslim, USA born. Been “woke” 2x: 1st, when I realized the world isn’t fair; 2nd, when I realized the “woke” people are full of shit.

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