Dr. Fauci testified today before the Senate that it is an absolute certainty there will be new outbreaks of Covid-19 cases.

Hm. “Absolute certainty.” Interesting comment.

On the other hand Rand Paul says there will be no second wave. Who to believe?

Well, Fauci has the better pedigree for this of course, although Paul is a smart enough guy to not only finish med school, but Duke Med at that. Stupid the man is not.

The White House forecasts that there will be an additional 10,000 deaths as a result of starting to open the country. But they aren’t doing anything to discourage this.

I’d say that’s a lowball estimate by a factor of 2. But it ignores the real question on the table, which is “how much of a shutdown can the economy endure before we kick off a second Great Depression?”

In the 1918 flu pandemic, when 650,000 Americans died,

I think we have to be somewhat careful when we make comparisons to 1918. There are certainly lessons to be learned, but we overstep when we use 1918 to make predictions, which sometimes lead to fearmongering. Two reasons:

  1. In 1918, they thought they had it beat. They were wrong. They got blindsided by Wave Two.
  2. Medical technology is, to say the least, significantly more advanced today than then.

The guidelines here are good.

No question that we need to get good, nonpolitical guidelines by occupational safety professionals for each major “type” of business.

Don’t count on the Federal government to put sufficient value on your lives and the lives of your family members. If your state doesn’t prepare for a second wave, we should prepare ourselves.

Thank you. At the end of the day, you are responsible for yours. It’s nice when the government doesn’t do what they almost always do (screw up) and help, but we have a government which for decades has proven that they are good at paying Smart People to do Smart Things, and not so good at doing Smart Things themselves.

Getting burned by lack of preparation is something we should never have to go through again.

Quite a few countries saying the same thing right now.

Written by

Data Driven Econophile. Muslim, USA born. Been “woke” 2x: 1st, when I realized the world isn’t fair; 2nd, when I realized the “woke” people are full of shit.

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