…someone trained in complex dynamic modeling and actively using statistical simulation in my career. Trending over any period of time is fraught with peril. That said, I am with EIP below, many of the political issues of AGW drop away if technologies that …
Chuckles. Absolutely correct. I remember the first time, back in the mid 1990’s. seeing some of long range projections for atmospheric Co2, the associated projections on surface temperature, and the disasters that were predicted by…..well, now. :-) Virtually none of which have come true.
At any rate, I remember looking at those trend projections, and almost yelling in my mind “Don’t you smart people know you can’t do the math like that!!!!!!!????” :-)
Anyway, my $0.02. Don’t take any plugged nickles, and don’t try to apply a constant which compounds over time in an open system and think your model is going to come out accurately. :-)