A Succinct Summary of the Kavanaugh Effect

(or, What Happens When Other News Kicks Trump Off the Front Page)

This is a quick list of changes in the RealClearPolitics projections since October 1, when RCP listed 206 House Seats leaning or likely Democrat, 189 House Seats leaning or likely GOP, with 36 in the tossup category.

  • PA 7, moved from Leans Dem to Tossup
  • MN 2, moved from Tossup to Leans Dem
  • WI 1, moved from Tossup to Leans GOP (Paul Ryan’s seat)
  • CA 50, moved from Tossup to Leans GOP
  • Montana At-Large, moved from Tossup to Leans GOP
  • VA 2, moved from Tossup to Leans GOP
  • OH 1, moved from Tossup to Leans GOP
  • NC 9, moved from Leans Dem to Tossup
  • WV 3, moved from Tossup to Leans GOP
  • TX 23, moved from Tossup to Leans GOP
  • CA 39, moved from Leans GOP to Tossup
  • NC 2, moved from Tossup to Leans GOP
  • NY 27, moved from Tossup to Leans GOP
  • OH 12, moved fromt Tossup to Leans GOP

Net result as of 10/7 updates: 205 seats lean or likely Dem, 198 seats lean or likely GOP, 32 in tossup.

Written by

Data Driven Econophile. Muslim, USA born. Been “woke” 2x: 1st, when I realized the world isn’t fair; 2nd, when I realized the “woke” people are full of shit.

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