A couple of points:

  1. In a liberal democracy, the people make their own decisions on matters like quarantine and social distancing. Not politicians. (Based on some feedback, I should clarify this point. I am not disputing the right of the politician to declare a temporary ‘emergency’; I am pointing out that ultimately, a politician requires the approval of the people to hold office. If the people perceive that the politician has overstepped his or her authority, either by the extent of their quarantining or its duration, then they’re cast out at the next election. OR, if the next election seems too far in the future, they’re cast out by recall. (OR, failing that, by pitchforks. )
  2. Given accurate data, people are intelligent and capable of making their own risk-adjusted decisions. The keyword there is “given accurate data”. The problem is that both “sides” of this argument spin the data to bolster their own positions.
  3. It is not selfish or stupid to want to feed your family.
  4. It is extremely difficult to draw conclusions from the NYC experience. @45% of deaths so far have been within range of the NYC commuter rail system. I think it reasonable to assume that commuter trains are a very efficient means of infection transmission.
  5. Fortunately, no other US city is as dependent on trains as NYC is. Chicago would be next closest, I assume, then D.C., but after that…..big dropoff. Ironic that the US addiction to private automobiles may in part be our salvation.
  6. If cases are rising around the country over the next month, that’s expected. We started testing, after all. The larger question is “will the MORTALITY rate increase?”
  7. Businesses can be made reasonably safe, if (a) daily — or more often — — disinfecting is performed AND (b) employees can be physically isolated by cubicles. The group tables favored by some “modern” offices are a non starter. OSHA needs to step in here and define what a safe workplace is in our new normal.

My $.02.

Written by

Data Driven Econophile. Muslim, USA born. Been “woke” 2x: 1st, when I realized the world isn’t fair; 2nd, when I realized the “woke” people are full of shit.

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